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The Trump coalition is shattered – what will Republicans do now?

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Republicans lost control of both the House and the Senate in the 2026 midterm elections, and the defeat has set off an open argument inside the party about what comes next.

The losses reached states long treated as Republican strongholds. The BBC reported that Democrats also picked up governorships and state legislatures in Texas and Kansas, among others. Outgoing Florida Governor Ron DeSantis called the results “close to an extinction-level event for Republicans”.

Vice-President JD Vance said the fallout would be messy. He blamed public anger over the war in Iran and said the party should return to “America First”, while conceding: “There will be a lot of infighting and arguing over what happened and why.”

Editorial illustration of the US Capitol at dusk with a cracked path and ballot boxes
Illustration for this story

Strategists quoted by the BBC said the 2028 Republican nomination race, once seen as Vance’s to lose, is now wide open. A New York Times analysis of voter data found Democratic support rose by 29 percentage points among Latino voters and 33 points among voters aged 18 to 29 between 2024 and 2026.

Three days after the election, Trump named Stephen Miller as his new White House chief of staff, replacing Susie Wiles. The BBC reported the move as a signal that Trump has no plans to moderate his policies or message in his remaining years in office.

Republican strategist Rina Shah told the BBC the party must decide whether it will be “centred on one figure, one guy, or on a wider set of ideas like conservatism that can win outside the deepest red places”.

Source: BBC News

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